Capitals vs Canadiens Game 4: Same-Game Parlay Picks & Analysis

NHL News

The Montreal Canadiens are looking to even their playoff series against the Washington Capitals on Sunday as the Eastern Conference rivals face off in Game 4. The home team has claimed victory in each of the series` first three contests; Washington won Games 1 and 2, while Montreal responded with a 6-3 win at home in Game 3. The Capitals were the top team in the East during the regular season, whereas Montreal was the final team to secure a playoff berth in either conference.

According to SportsLine consensus odds, Washington is favored on the money line at -128, meaning a $128 bet would win $100. Montreal is the underdog at +108, where a $100 wager returns $108. The total number of goals is set at 6.

Alex Ovechkin, who surpassed the NHL`s all-time goals record this season, has found the net three times in this series, including two goals in Washington`s 3-2 victory in Game 1. He is featured as a key component in one of the three legs of Sunday`s NHL same-game parlay for the Capitals-Canadiens game, which was formulated with insights from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NHL game 10,000 times. The model`s top-rated player prop picks are available, with detailed ratings indicating the confidence level for various player performance bets. These projections are useful for constructing successful parlays, including same-game parlays.

Here are the three top-rated player prop picks from the SportsLine model for Sunday`s Game 4 showdown between the Capitals and Canadiens, along with the potential payout for combining them into a same-game parlay.Capitals-Canadiens SGP (+538)

  • Nick Suzuki Under 1.5 total points (-245): 5 stars
  • Lane Hutson Under 0.5 total points (+128): 4.5 stars
  • Alex Ovechkin Under 3.5 total shots on goal (-104): 4 stars

Nick Suzuki has scored two goals in the series, both in Friday`s winning effort, but these represent his only points. He has not exceeded 1.5 total points in any of the first three games, and the model does not anticipate this changing in Game 4, projecting him for 0.3 points. He has gone Under his total points prop in three of his last five games, averaging 0.8 points during that period. Lane Hutson, a young defenseman for Montreal, has registered three points—all assists—in the series. However, the model projects him to record no points against the Capitals in Game 4. He has finished Under his points prop in three of his last five games when Montreal played as the underdog. As for Alex Ovechkin, the legendary scorer has led the NHL in shots on goal 11 times in his career and averaged 3.65 shots per game this year. The model favors the Under on his 3.5 line for Sunday, projecting the winger to have 3.1 total shots on goal in Montreal. Ovechkin finished under his total shots on goal prop in four of his last six road games when the Capitals were favored, averaging 3.2 shots per contest in those matchups.

Gideon Holt
Gideon Holt

Say hello to Gideon Holt, a sports writer living in Leeds, England. He thrives on the adrenaline of deadlines, delivering sharp takes on boxing, tennis, and more. Gideon’s love for the game shines through in every article, blending stats with storytelling.

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